Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 75526.092424 79773.058769 84022.469261 88590.322084 93358.521250 98185.955058 103439.731451
2026-02-01 67865.071341 74277.325483 80875.451220 88162.978895 95976.886819 104094.308904 113155.114752
2026-02-08 63034.502199 70957.897955 79292.309451 88693.574569 98983.830102 109885.297787 122287.868030
2026-02-15 58888.293937 67891.361178 77539.001927 88615.239798 100947.971437 114225.547014 129568.293702
2026-02-22 56359.557813 66327.359783 77180.600938 89829.748393 104119.153542 119713.143526 137968.244630
2026-03-01 53976.333010 64722.294365 76593.093199 90616.601364 106664.869842 124390.371894 145380.298277
2026-03-08 51380.270036 62703.303468 75382.139015 90550.209118 108117.578651 127737.304984 151216.074608
2026-03-15 49313.701287 61171.209846 74615.709648 90887.128636 109939.913913 131434.230589 157402.468342
2026-03-22 48143.174475 60610.281246 74906.972785 92391.163010 113065.941198 136600.826183 165275.961861
2026-03-29 46853.659684 59832.290774 74877.967833 93462.048255 115643.139629 141108.331312 172383.614648
2026-04-05 45487.514725 58892.760733 74596.513684 94179.555441 117762.097500 145056.346384 178832.435516
2026-04-12 43838.783969 57537.927603 73752.915907 94164.461394 118960.291212 147886.603135 183946.714295
2026-04-19 42350.015198 56342.675716 73075.818268 94335.898752 120385.078477 151009.650172 189461.923213
2026-04-26 40797.869629 55013.293191 72186.349719 94205.814652 121413.732272 153643.727977 194396.105288
2026-05-03 39718.170297 54236.129160 71941.661670 94837.632484 123350.119234 157362.259830 200645.810445
2026-05-10 38372.964379 53070.812807 71167.906989 94770.911597 124394.262438 159978.673021 205554.020403
2026-05-17 37737.991596 52792.352100 71487.676126 96057.258331 127108.377167 164638.794798 212979.159839
2026-05-24 36935.774290 52264.737087 71464.517585 96889.057754 129242.632106 168586.828366 219547.046473
2026-05-31 35777.787688 51230.806511 70758.022194 96819.124666 130218.269479 171088.975190 224329.303931
2026-06-07 34864.270087 50490.163157 70402.503822 97174.966176 131715.566962 174232.630233 229914.827921
2026-06-14 34519.974668 50495.687737 71005.970379 98763.138306 134785.217718 179355.637575 238001.300378
2026-06-21 34004.685476 50250.602242 71265.547536 99893.768120 137266.538285 183748.617250 245197.407503
2026-06-28 33362.641258 49811.238525 71250.640840 100651.231617 139260.372136 187529.796403 251640.944798